IT in 10 years
We read everywhere about how fast everything is going, yet driving to work this year feels much the same as last year. This is a paradox, we don't see ourselves ageing in the short term and likewise change is hard to see when you're in the middle of it. In the 90's most people had a camera, video camera, Walkman, mobile phone, digital watch and so on, today this has been replaced by a smartphone.
So what will happen to IT and society in the next few years, let's say within 10 years? Remember where you first read this!
Self-driving cars and driverless taxis are a matter of course. Yet new housing estates are still being built. That is, we will be dropped off at garages that will be used as storage facilities far from their stairwells.
Some companies have missed out on digitalisation, others are seeing their entire business model collapse because of new entrants. Of the Fortune 500 companies that account for 2/3 of US GDP, half will be off the list in 10 years compared to today.
Oxford University believes that 47% of all jobs in the US could be automated within 20 years. Forrester believes 6% will be automated by 2021. Both physical and electronic robots will have taken over many jobs in 10 years. We are as short of photographic models, bank tellers, accountants and taxi drivers as we are of lift operators today. "Unemployment" has skyrocketed, making the discussion of citizen wages (basic income) an election issue to follow Finland, Italy, the Netherlands, Canada and others.
According to the World Economic Forum's forecast, 65% of children starting school in the US this year will have an occupation as adults that does not even exist today. This has led to the whole education sector being debated and in crisis.
Elon Musk has launched the first Neural Lace products that connect a computer directly to the brain. Ethical debates are going on everywhere about when a human is a human and not a robot or a stored consciousness. You start getting weird questions when you're at the checkout or customs because they've read the mood of your face with a camera, hence an equal debate about privacy, because GDPR wasn't enough to make us feel less monitored.
According to Stanford University, the world's first 200-year-old is already born today, unfortunately they won't discuss the pension system yet.
Swedes cross the border with 10 connected devices per individual. The number of IoT connected devices in the world is approaching 100 billion and battery switchers became a new profession.
Machine learning is used to write better algorithms that improve AI so that it can improve its own algorithms...
Banks, lawyers, insurance companies and others are demanding legislation against new blockchain-based services that threaten their business. Quantum computers are starting to proliferate, destroying all common crypto algorithms in use, while the Riksbank wants to launch Swecoin.
All this is due to digital developments. We are in the midst of what is called the 4th Industrial Revolution, where the boundaries between digital, physical and biological are blurring. It is precisely the combination of technologies in different areas that creates entirely new opportunities and conditions. Compared to the last industrial revolution, we now have technology that is 300 times more powerful and 10 times faster.
The question you should be asking yourself is: do you think your business is developing well enough with the above perspective in mind or should we meet and discuss solutions where you can look to gain the benefits that this can bring?
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